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# Grzegorz A. Rempala, PhD DSc : Contact Processes and Stochastic Models of Epidemics

I will discuss some old and new results related to the analysis of stochastic SIR-type epidemics on a configuration model (CM) random graph having a fixed degree distribution p_k. In particular, I will describe the relevant large graph limit result which yields the law of large numbers (LLN) for the edge-based process. I will also discuss the applications of the LLN approximation in building a "network-free" SIR Markov hybrid model which can be used for epidemic parameters inference. The hybrid model idea appears particularly relevant in the context of the recent Ebola and the Zika epidemics.

**Category**: Mathematical Biology**Duration**: 01:14:41**Date**: February 10, 2017 at 11:55 AM**Views**: 204-
**Tags:**seminar, Mathematical Biology Seminar

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